Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.636387 3.161107 3.733307 4.399959 5.151566 5.969051 6.921638
2025-12-28 1.979910 2.684164 3.519635 4.568618 5.834686 7.297811 9.100077
2026-01-04 1.576247 2.397492 3.449214 4.857846 6.656389 8.837313 11.640513
2026-01-11 1.265480 2.153055 3.374970 5.109904 7.436047 10.373162 14.281930
2026-01-18 0.968510 1.854878 3.168980 5.144727 7.919171 11.554998 16.546994
2026-01-25 0.702243 1.532448 2.864479 4.987609 8.108001 12.345389 18.335904
2026-02-01 0.513619 1.282676 2.617717 4.867477 8.315774 13.150535 20.163591
2026-02-08 0.375455 1.079909 2.403914 4.758319 8.511551 13.929707 21.972297
2026-02-15 0.279152 0.927082 2.243299 4.704965 8.772074 14.798037 23.925440
2026-02-22 0.234326 0.873394 2.252131 4.929722 9.470335 16.324217 26.854875
2026-03-01 0.179176 0.772110 2.148134 4.941102 9.820857 17.342860 29.085383
2026-03-08 0.117724 0.621105 1.908189 4.671794 9.682191 17.605232 30.212201
2026-03-15 0.076062 0.503856 1.715754 4.469831 9.646979 18.036500 31.628760
2026-03-22 0.063858 0.485283 1.751309 4.719866 10.410112 19.751631 35.030331
2026-03-29 0.056826 0.484310 1.830695 5.066338 11.363004 21.803634 39.003838
2026-04-05 0.048755 0.473380 1.881958 5.357711 12.230853 23.747358 42.863747
2026-04-12 0.035896 0.426620 1.825977 5.412691 12.667749 25.003714 45.696266
2026-04-19 0.022379 0.356688 1.684566 5.260565 12.705546 25.599595 47.512359
2026-04-26 0.013623 0.300567 1.566163 5.142066 12.793140 26.273874 49.461797
2026-05-03 0.007897 0.253124 1.458773 5.032171 12.883958 26.948376 51.419334
2026-05-10 0.004547 0.217580 1.379591 4.978817 13.079241 27.803467 53.682912
2026-05-17 0.003554 0.212425 1.413288 5.214608 13.870074 29.714692 57.698460
2026-05-24 0.002037 0.188206 1.363544 5.227319 14.202333 30.830311 60.438955